作者：李军孙彦彬
ISBN：10位［7562325553］13位［9787562325550］
出版社：华南理工大学
出版日期：2007-03
定价：￥25.00元
内容提要本书在遵循国际上初步形成的“经济决策定量方法”课程架构的前提下，结合我国高校教学的实际，通过大量的实际案例，系统地介绍了“经济决策定量方法”的基本原理、方法与过程。全书共分10章，即：第一章经济决策定量方法综述；第二章经济预测分析；第三章存贮分析；第四章线性规划分析；第五章运输分析；第六章网络计划分析；第七章经济决策分析；第八章博弈与对策分析；第九章动态规划分析；第十章随机过程分析。
“经济决策定量方法”是一门新兴的经济管理核心课程，是横跨经济预测与决策、系统规划与优化、计量经济等领域的边缘性交又课程。本书篇幅在30万字左右，剪裁合理，详略得当，难易适中，较好地适应了我国高等院校教学的需要；采用大量实际案例，对知识的论述强调经济内涵，把数学的应用保持在中等水平上；全英文编写适应全球化人才培养的要求。
本书可作为普通高校经济管理类专业本科生和研究生双语教学或专业英语的教材，也可以作为企业全球化管理人才培训的教材或自学参考书。
目录CHAPTER1INTRODUCTIONTOQUANTITATIVEMETHODSFORDECISIONMAKING
1.1QuantitativeMethods:AContinuingStoryofSuccess
1.2ManagementScienceandOperationsResearch
1.3TheImportanceofStudyingQuantitativeMethods
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CHAPTER2FORECASTING
2.1ForecastingUsingPastData:Time-seriesAnalysis
2.2ExponentialSmoothing
2.3ForecastingTrendUsingRegression
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CHAPTER3INVENTORYMODELS
3.1Introduction
3.2TheEconomicOrderQuantity(EOQ)Model
3.3OptimalInventoryPolicywithBackordering
3.4EconomicProductionLot-sizeModel
3.5Single-periodInventoryDecisionswithUncertainFactors
3.6Multi-periodInventoryPolicieswithUncertainFactors
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CHAPTER4LINEARPROGRAMMING
4.1Introduction
4.2FormulationofLinearProgrammingModels
4.3GraphicalSolutionofLinearPrograms
4.4LinearPrograminStandardForm
4.5SimplexMethod
4.6UseofArtificialVariables
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CHAPTER5TRANSPORTATIONPROBLEMS
5.1AShipment-SchedulingCase
5.2GettingStarted:TheNorthwestComerRuler
5.3GettingStarted:TheLeastCostRuler
5.4GettingStarted:TheVogel'sApproximationRuler
5.5SolvingtheProblem:TheSimplexAnalogy
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CHAPTER6PROJECTPLANNINGWITHPERT
6.1TheBasicConceptsofPERT
6.2AnAnalysisofthePERTNetwork
6.3PlanningandControlUsingthePERTNetwork
6.4Time-CostTrade-OffEvaluationswithPERT
6.5ProbabilisticPERTAnalysiswithThreeTimeEstimates
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CHAPTER7DECISIONMAKING
7.1TheCertaintyandUncertaintyinDecisionMaking
7.2TheElementsofDecisions
7.3TheBayesDecisionRule
7.4TheDecisionTreeAnalysis
7.5DecisionMakingUsingExperimentalInformation
7.6DecisionMakingUsingNormalDistribution
7.7DecisionMakingwithUtility
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CHAPTER8GAMESINTERACTIVEDECISIONS
8.1GameTheory
8.2MajorGameTypesandTheirSolutions
8.3SomePropertiesofZero-SumGames
8.4MixedStrategiesinGameswithnoEquilibriumActPair
8.5MixedStrategiesinLargerGames
8.6AdditionalRemarks
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CHAPTER9DYNAMICPROGRAMMING
9.1TheStagecoachProblem
9.2TypesofDynamicPrograms
9.3TheKnapsackProblem
9.4MaximizingSystemReliability
9.5OptimizingMulti-periodInventoriesandProduction
9.6ProbabilisticDynamicProgramming
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CHAPTER10RANDOMPROCESSES
10.1DiscreteTimeProcesses
10.2ContinuousTimeProcesses
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参考文献
教学大纲
