The Great Transformation: The New Stages of Economic Growth in Our Multipolar World
分類: 图书,进口原版,Business & Investing(商业与投资),Economics(经济学),International,
品牌: Dan Steinbock
基本信息出版社:John Wiley & Sons Inc (2012年12月27日)精装:464页语种:英语ISBN:1118116658条形码:9781118116654商品尺寸:16.4 x 2.2 x 23 cm商品重量:789 gASIN:1118116658商品描述目录Preface Introduction Chapter 1: The Great Transformation Diffusion of Economic Power The Cyclical Narrative The Global Crisis Impact The Secular Narrative Stages of Growth, Classes of Industrializers Chapter 2: From Tradition to Modern Growth Eclipse of Tradition and Carnage Toward Social Contract Malthusian Stagnation From Tradition to Modernity Kinds of Industrializations Colonial Legacies Between Tradition and Modernity Chapter 3: Industrial Growth Preconditions for Take-Off The Process of Take-Off Drive to Technological Maturity Multipolar Turning Point Sensitivity to Initial Conditions Vicissitudes of Nationalism Chapter 4: Market Growth Drivers of Market Growth The Challenge of Debt Will China and India Suffer from Debt Crises? Will the Emerging World Suffer from Debt Crises? Waves of Innovation Severed Linkage Market Growth and Global Middle Class Consumption in the Emerging World Vicissitudes of Internationalism Global Crisis as a Transitional Growth Pain Chapter 5: Sustainability Toward Systemic Shocks The Supply Shocks The Demand Shocks Demise of the Old Energy Order United States as Advanced Energy Superpower China as Emerging Energy Superpower Global Climate Change Toward Sustainable Growth Multi-Decade Race over Resources Chapter 6: The Rise and Decline of Urban Revolution Urbanization in the Advanced West Advanced Global Cities Urban Revolution in the Emerging World Emerging Megacities From Urban Acceleration to Deceleration The Eclipse of Urbanization Chapter 7: Eclipse of Demographic Dividends A Short History of World Population and Growth Multipolar Populations Stage of Demographic Transition Next Four Decades Maturing, Stationary Population Chapter 8: Advanced Growth United States European Integration Germany France United Kingdom Italy Japan Chapter 9: Emerging Growth (I) China India Large Emerging Economies Brazil Russia Chapter 10: Emerging Growth (II) Indonesia Mexico Turkey Potential Emerging Economies Egypt Nigeria Chapter 11: Stages of Growth, Waves of Democracies The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly Prosperity and Democracy Early Democratization Postwar Democratization Growth and Emerging Democracies Market Growth Quest for the Consent of the Governed Chapter 12: Unipolar Dollar, Multipolar Trade and Investment Early Globalization and Colonialism The Golden Age: The Postwar Advanced Economies The Golden Age: The Post-1980 Emerging World Multipolar World, Unipolar Currency Growth and Appreciation Multipolar Trade and Investment Chapter 13: The Great Handoff: From the United States to China A Short History of U.S.--Chinese Relations The Sino-U.S. Rapprochement Economic Issues Strategic Issues From Unipolarity to Multipolarity Chapter 14: Emerging Asia: Prosperity or Cold War Emerging Asia: Shifting Center of Economic Gravity Asia's Strategic Gravity From U.S. Unipolarity to Rebalancing in Asia Why Containment Multipolar Approach to War and Peace Chapter 15: The Clash of Polarities Toward Global Governance Toward Multipolar Consensus Alternative Kuznets Curve Inequality of Class, Inequality of Location Income Divergence The Rich-Poor Country Problem Appendix: On the Method Differences with Conventional Growth Accounts Revised Stages of Growth Multipolar Growth Poles About the Author Index