Boom-bust cycles and financial liberalization高涨萧条周期与金融自由化
分類: 图书,进口原版书,经管与理财 Business & Investing ,
作者: Aaron Tornell著
出 版 社:
出版时间: 2005-11-1字数:版次: 1页数: 186印刷时间: 2005/11/01开本: 16开印次: 1纸张: 胶版纸I S B N : 9780262201599包装: 精装编辑推荐
作者介绍:Aaron Tornell
Aaron Tornell is Professor of Economics at UCLA, an NBER Research Fellow, and a CESifo Research Fellow.
内容简介
The volatility that has hit many middle-income countries (MICs) after liberalizimg their financial markets has prompted critics to call for new policies to stabilize these boom-bust cycles. But, as Aaron Tornell and Frank Westermann point out in this book, over the last two decades most of the developing countries that have experienced lending booms and busts have also exhibited the fastest growth among MICs. Countries with more stable credit growth, by contrast, have exhibited, on average, lower growth rates. Factors that contribute to financial fragility thus appear, paradoxically, to be a source of long-run growth as well. Tornell and Westermann analyze boom-bust cycles in the developing world and discuss how these cycles are generated by credit market imperfections. They explain why the financial liberalization that allows countries to overcome imperfections impeding rapid growth also generates the financial fragility that leads to greater volatility and occasional crises. The conceptual framework they present illustrates this linkage and allows Tornell and Westermann to address normative questions regarding liberalization policies.
The authors also characterize key macroeconomic regularities observed across MICs, showing that credit markets play a key role not only in boom-bust episodes but in the strong "credit channel" observed during tranquil times. A theoretical framework is then presented that explains how credit market imperfections can account for these empirical patterns. Finally, Tornell and Westermann provide microeconomic evidence on the credit market imperfections that drive the results of the theoretical framework, finding that asymmetries between tradables and nontradables are key to understanding the patterns in MIC data.
目录
Series Foreword
Acknowledgments
Introduction
2 Road map
3 The long run : liberalization, growth, and crises
4 The short run : boom-bust cycles and the credit channel
5 The conceptual framework
6 Credit market imperfections in middle-income countries
7 Conclusions and policy implications
Appendix:Data sources and defintitons
Notes
References
List of abbreviations
Index